<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Veldhuis, Anouk</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Brouwer-Middelesch, Henriëtte</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Marceau, Alexis</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Madouasse, Aurélien</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Yves Van der Stede</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Fourichon, Christine</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Sarah Welby</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Wever, Paul</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">van Schaik, Gerdien</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Application of syndromic surveillance on routinely collected cattle reproduction and milk production data for the early detection of outbreaks of Bluetongue and Schmallenberg viruses.</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Prev Vet Med</style></secondary-title><alt-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Prev Vet Med</style></alt-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Animals</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Belgium</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Bluetongue</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Bluetongue virus</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Bunyaviridae Infections</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Cattle</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Cattle Diseases</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Disease Outbreaks</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Epidemiological Monitoring</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Female</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">milk</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Netherlands</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Orthobunyavirus</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Prospective Studies</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">reproduction</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2016</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2016 Feb 01</style></date></pub-dates></dates><volume><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">124</style></volume><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">15-24</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language><abstract><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">&lt;p&gt;This study aimed to evaluate the use of routinely collected reproductive and milk production data for the early detection of emerging vector-borne diseases in cattle in the Netherlands and the Flanders region of Belgium (i.e., the northern part of Belgium). Prospective space-time cluster analyses on residuals from a model on milk production were carried out to detect clusters of reduced milk yield. A CUSUM algorithm was used to detect temporal aberrations in model residuals of reproductive performance models on two indicators of gestation length. The Bluetongue serotype-8 (BTV-8) epidemics of 2006 and 2007 and the Schmallenberg virus (SBV) epidemic of 2011 were used as case studies to evaluate the sensitivity and timeliness of these methods. The methods investigated in this study did not result in a more timely detection of BTV-8 and SBV in the Netherlands and BTV-8 in Belgium given the surveillance systems in place when these viruses emerged. This could be due to (i) the large geographical units used in the analyses (country, region and province level), and (ii) the high level of sensitivity of the surveillance systems in place when these viruses emerged. Nevertheless, it might be worthwhile to use a syndromic surveillance system based on non-specific animal health data in real-time alongside regular surveillance, to increase the sense of urgency and to provide valuable quantitative information for decision makers in the initial phase of an emerging disease outbreak.&lt;/p&gt;</style></abstract><custom1><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26732291?dopt=Abstract</style></custom1></record></records></xml>