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Real-time prediction of influenza outbreaks in Belgium.

from more seasons become available. Since the SIR model is then calibrated dynamically every week, the predicted ILI curve gets rapidly tuned to the dynamics of the ongoing season. The results show that ...

Non coding extremities of the seven influenza virus type C vRNA segments: effect on transcription and replication by the type C and type A polymerase complexes.

for efficient transcription/replication by the type A and C polymerases. RESULTS: The NC sequences of the seven genomic segments of the type C influenza virus C/Johannesburg/⅙6 strain were found to be ...

The impact of regular school closure on seasonal influenza epidemics: a data-driven spatial transmission model for Belgium.

experimental scenarios are explored to identify the relevant social and behavioral mechanisms. RESULTS: Stochastic numerical simulations show that holidays considerably delay the peak of the season and mitigate ...

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