Expert judgement in a risk assessment model for Salmonella spp. in pork: the performance of different weighting schemes.

Last updated on 22-8-2019 by Anonymous (non vérifié)

Peer reviewed scientific article

SCIENSANO

Résumé:

A structured expert judgement study was carried out in order to obtain input parameters for a quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) model. This model aimed to estimate the risk of human Salmonella infections associated with the consumption of minced pork meat. Judgements of 11 experts were used to derive subjective probability density functions (PDFs) to quantify the uncertainty on the model input parameters. The performance of experts as probability assessors was measured by the experts’ ability to correctly and precisely provide estimates for a set of seed variables (=variables fr…

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