Simulation enhanced distributed lag models for mortality displacement. [1]
Peer reviewed scientific article
SCIENSANO
Mots-clés
Résumé:
Distributed lag models (DLM) are attractive methods for dealing with mortality displacement, however their estimates can have substantial bias when the data is generated by a multi-state model. In particular DLMs are not valid for mortality displacement. Alternative methods are scarce and lack feasibility and validation. We investigate the breakdown of DLM in three state models by means of simulation and propose simulation enhanced distributed lag models (SEDLM) to overcome the defects. The new method provides simultaneous estimates of the net effect (entry) and the displacement effect (exi…